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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 2.4 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home with respect to three-point attempts.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (highest in the league) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a strong matchup.

The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 14.8% higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with only 7.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Jazz, struggling to get to the foul line.

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