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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson slots into the 90th percentile for three-pointers hit, logging 2.5 per game this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Hawks are at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 9th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).

The Miami Heat will likely see a spike in plays today from facing the quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Hawks).

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 14.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the foul line.

Duncan Robinson figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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