Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has put up 15.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.
The Heat check in as the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8).
Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Magic may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 3.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).
Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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