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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2024

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.

The Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making this a good matchup.

Duncan Robinson has made 88.9% of his free throws without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are on their home court (4th-least in the league).

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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