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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 87th percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 6.5 per game this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.5).

Duncan Robinson has made 1.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

The matchup against the Hornets may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road.

The 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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