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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.0 shots from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 6.1 mark last season.

In contrast to last season's 4.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's three-point attempts have risen this season to 7.0 per game.

Duncan Robinson has played 28.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).

The Pacers have played at the speediest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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