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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2024

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has posted an impressive 13.3 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 7.3 points per game last season.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's superb 38.3% rate of converted threes on their home court measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.2%).

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% more than he's converted overall this year playing at home.

Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the 76ers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson registers in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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