Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has attempted 9.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Duncan Robinson has tallied 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).
Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a tough one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.6%).
The 2nd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance in all stat categories.

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