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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have surged this year to 13.4.

Duncan Robinson has played 33.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's played overall this year.

The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

As a team, the Miami Heat have been among the best at drawing fouls of late: 5th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage with 23.1 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

This year, opposing starting SGs have shot 27.6% on three-pointers (2nd-weakest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a difficult matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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