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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has scored an impressive 13.3 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.3 points per game last season.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.7 rate last season.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a difficult one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have posted the 14th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (27.6%).

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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