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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.1 shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.1 mark last season.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, significantly more than his 4.7 rate last year.

Duncan Robinson has played 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Heat's stellar 38.9% rate of made threes while playing at home settles in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

When playing on the road, the Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 0.7 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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