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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has made 4.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from three in all games this year.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.

In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's remarkable 42.9% rate of successful threes ranks 3rd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have logged 20.4 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive production.

Duncan Robinson has made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 9.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.

The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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