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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.

Duncan Robinson has tallied 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, branding this as a good matchup.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 95.2% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson rates in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.3 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.

The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson stands to see a decline in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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