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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled 18.1 points per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive output.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Duncan Robinson is expected to suffer a drop-off in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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