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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have risen this season to 13.0.

The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most baskets per game in the league this year (6.2).

The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).

The Bucks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.

The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.

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