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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged a whopping 28.2 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 17.2 minutes per game last season.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court.

The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (102.6).

The Celtics have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has sunk 34.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.5% less than he's made overall this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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