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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2024

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 95th percentile for three-point shots scored, compiling 2.9 per game this year.

With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.1% more than he's converted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing clubs have shot 38.5% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (6th-most in the league).

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