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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Thunder is a hard one for field goals; opposing clubs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (44.8%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year playing at home.

As a team, the Heat have been very successful at getting to the free-throw line of late: 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 15 games with 26.5 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 31.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

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