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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 7.3 mark, Duncan Robinson's points per game have surged this season to 14.5.

In contrast to last season's 4.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 7.1 per game.

Duncan Robinson has tallied a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 16.6 minutes per game last year.

With respect to shooting, the Heat's impressive 123.4 points per game ranks 7th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.

The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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