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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/28/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made an impressive 3.1 threes per game this year, significantly more than his 1.7 rate last year.

Relative to last year's 16.6 rate, Duncan Robinson's playing time has spiked this year to 28.9 minutes per game.

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Miami Heat's superb 38.0% rate of made threes away from their home court measures as the 5th-highest in the league this year.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a positive one; when the Milwaukee Bucks have the home court advantage, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (19.6).

The Heat will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks (continuing possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

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