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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged an impressive 14.3 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.3 points per game last season.

In contrast to last year's 4.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 7.5 per game.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.

The Heat check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 7 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Chicago is a tough one; when the Bulls are on their home court, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.9).

The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (continuing possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

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