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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's terrific 40.1% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have shot 34.5% on 3-pointers (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a tough matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

Duncan Robinson has made 90.0% of his foul shot attempts with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing teams have attempted just 20.2 foul shots per game when the Los Angeles Lakers have the home court advantage since the start of last season (least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 16th percentile for field goal prowess while at home with a a feeble 39.1% rate since the start of last season.

The Heat check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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