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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 47.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 11.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year when playing away from home.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has sunk a terrific 90.0% of his free throws this season, quite a bit more than his 82.4 mark last season.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a mere 17.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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