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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has sunk 2.6 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year on his home court.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; the other team have put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (34.4%).

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season while at home.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 21.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are away from home (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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