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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 54.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; the other team have put up the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (34.4%).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's sunk overall this season while at home.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 21.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Nuggets are on the road (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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