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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has posted 13.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.

Duncan Robinson has made 48.8% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 13.9% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season away from his home court.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (13.4).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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