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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Duncan Robinson has scored 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's scored overall this year.
  • Duncan Robinson has made 2.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three overall this year.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 20.8 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Duncan Robinson has been on the court for a lowly 16.3 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 23.4 minutes per game last year.
  • This matchup is a positive one for field goals; opposing clubs have posted the 6th-highest field goal rate in the league over the last 5 games (50.3%).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.
  • The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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