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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Duncan Robinson has made 94.4% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 20.9 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
  • The Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to decreases stat production for all stats.

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