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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has scored 12.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's scored over the course of the season.

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted just 20.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has tallied a mere 16.2 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 23.4 minutes per game last season.

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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