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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has sunk 91.7% of his free throws while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a lowly 20.9 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged a lowly 16.1 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 23.4 minutes per game last year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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