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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has made 46.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 13.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a lowly 20.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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