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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 75.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 38.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The Miami Heat have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted a mere 4.5 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 7.3 rate last year.

This matchup is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 6th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (36.2).

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; when the Knicks are on their home court, their opposition have attempted a monstrous 23.6 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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