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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has sunk 51.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 20.3% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Heat.

Duncan Robinson has converted 93.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Bucks may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.2).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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