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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has sunk 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's terrific 37.4% rate of converted threes ranks 9th-most in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.7 three attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Kings, designating this as a hard matchup.

The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Duncan Robinson is expected to suffer a drop-off in production across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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