Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-186/+144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -186.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson rates in the 78th percentile for 3-point efficiency when playing on the road with a an exceptional 39.7% rate this year.
Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.
The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Bucks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games as the road team.
The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player performance across the board.