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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has averaged 3.1 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 78th percentile.

Duncan Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 1stworst in in the league while at home with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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