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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has compiled 3.1 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the league leaders by this metric recently: 80th percentile.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson rates in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

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