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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has posted 2.9 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days: 75th percentile.

Duncan Robinson has averaged a whopping 28.2 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 17.2 minutes per game last season.

The Celtics have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to raise player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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