Duncan Robinson Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has averaged 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard recently: 81st percentile.
The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Duncan Robinson will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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