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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has posted 3.0 assists per game this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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