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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-161).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has totaled 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for a lowly 16.3 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 23.4 minutes per game last year.

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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