Dru Smith Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dru Smith has averaged a terrific 1.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.6 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Compared to last season's 9.8 rate, Dru Smith's playing time has surged this season to 22.6 minutes per game.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dru Smith ranks in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.0 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Dru Smith ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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