Dru Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat.
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 11.3 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a strong matchup.

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