Dru Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2024

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 20, 2024

Updated Dec 21, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dru Smith has converted 44.4% of his three-point attempts while on his home court this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Dru Smith has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Dru Smith has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 9 games, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Dru Smith will likely see an increase in productivity across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Dru Smith has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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