Dru Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 10:39 PM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dru Smith has sunk 1.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
In terms of offense, the Heat's superb 116.0 points per game settles in as the 10th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Heat.
Dru Smith has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 9 games, 33.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Dru Smith will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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