Dru Smith Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 35.4% rate, Dru Smith's three-point efficiency has risen this year to 49.7%.
Dru Smith has attempted 3.0 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 mark last year.
Compared to last season's 9.8 rate, Dru Smith's playing time has surged this season to 22.6 minutes per game.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Dru Smith ranks in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.0 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Hornets have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted an enormous 26.2 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league).
Dru Smith ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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