Dru Smith Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Dru Smith

NBA · Player Props

Dru Smith

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Dru Smith Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Dru Smith has converted 2.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Dru Smith has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league while on their home court this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Dru Smith should see an increase in productivity across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Dru Smith has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup against Ben Simmons is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when squaring off against opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted a measly 5.4 three-pointers per game (3rd percentile).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Heat rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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