Draymond Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has averaged 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
Draymond Green has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has averaged 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Draymond Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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