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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Draymond Green measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.3 minutes per game this year.

The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the league as the visting team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 49.1% rate, Draymond Green's field goal proficiency has fallen this season to 41.3%.

Draymond Green has tallied 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.

The matchup against the Heat may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

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