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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The 8th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.

The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green is expected to see an increase in performance in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Draymond Green registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.0 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

In regard to offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 107.0 points per game places 5th-weakest in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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